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Compound probability

Sometimes it is necessary to find the probability of an event where two outcomes are related.

Example

A spinning wheel has three fields (blue, red, and green). The fields are of equal size, which means that it is a uniform sample space.

What is the probability that the wheel stops on blue twice in a row?

Here we can say that the probability of landing on blue in the first round is 13 . The probability of landing on blue in the second round is also 13 . Since the wheel must land on blue in both the first and the second round, these two probabilities must be multiplied.

Thus, the calculation becomes: 13 · 13 = 19

The probability is therefore 19 for the wheel to land on blue two times in a row.